Lightweight
3 Rounds
Teemu Packalen won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 27, 2016·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupTeemu Packalen: WrestlervsThibault Gouti: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Teemu Packalen wins(70.7%)
Actual result: Teemu Packalen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Teemu Packalen enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Thibault Gouti is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Teemu Packalen has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Teemu Packalen threatens submissions; Thibault Gouti has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Teemu Packalen has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Teemu Packalen
Red Corner
VS
Thibault Gouti
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Teemu PackalenL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mickael Lebout · Jul 15L
KOvs Marc Diakiese · Mar 17L
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Sep 19Thibault GoutiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Jun 16L
KOvs Chad Laprise · Aug 16W
KOvs Andrew Holbrook · Sep 17L
vs Sage Northcutt · Feb 18L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Oct 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Teemu PackalenMetricThibault Gouti
2.57
Strikes / min
3.68
3.91
Strikes absorbed / min
5.64
47%
Strike defense
50%
2.31
TDs / 15 min
1.23
100%
Takedown defense
83%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.34evenly matched on net striking-1.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Teemu PackalenThibault Gouti
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Teemu Packalen(4 fights)Thibault Gouti(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.419.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Teemu Packalen
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4
Thibault Gouti
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6