Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Tereza Bleda won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 17, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTereza Bleda: Well-roundedvsGabriella Fernandes: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Tereza Bleda wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Tereza Bleda wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gabriella Fernandes has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Tereza Bleda has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gabriella Fernandes (53.5%).
- Tereza Bleda has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tereza Bleda
Red Corner
VS
Gabriella Fernandes
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+194
(34%)
24
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tereza BledaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Natalia Silva · Nov 22L
KOvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Dec 25Gabriella Fernandes
oldest →latest
L
vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 23W
vs Carli Judice · Jun 24W
SUBvs Wang Cong · Nov 24W
vs Julija Stoliarenko · Aug 25L
KOvs Casey O'Neill · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tereza BledaMetricGabriella Fernandes
2.92
Strikes / min
3.51
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
5.31
43%
Strike defense
53%
1.72
TDs / 15 min
0.42
83%
Takedown defense
68%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78Δ 2.58 — meaningful gap-1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tereza BledaGabriella Fernandes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tereza Bleda(3 fights)Gabriella Fernandes(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Tereza Bleda
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3
Gabriella Fernandes
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights6