Lightweight
3 Rounds
Terrance McKinney won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 14, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Terrance McKinney wins(74.3%)
Actual result: Terrance McKinney wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Terrance McKinney is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Brendon Marotte has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Terrance McKinney has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Terrance McKinney has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Terrance McKinney (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Terrance McKinney
Red Corner
VS
Brendon Marotte
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
31
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Terrance McKinney
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Esteban Ribovics · May 24W
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 25W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · Jun 25L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Dec 25W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 26Brendon Marotte
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Isaac Dulgarian · Sep 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Terrance McKinneyMetricBrendon Marotte
6.53
Strikes / min
0.41
3.45
Strikes absorbed / min
5.70
43%
Strike defense
28%
3.31
TDs / 15 min
0.00
72%
Takedown defense
0%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.08Δ 8.37 — meaningful gap-5.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Terrance McKinneyBrendon Marotte
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Terrance McKinney(10 fights)Brendon Marotte(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.3-14.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Terrance McKinney
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Brendon Marotte
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2