Lightweight
3 Rounds
Terrance McKinney won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 1, 2025·Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia
Model Prediction: Terrance McKinney wins(75.0%)
Actual result: Terrance McKinney wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Damir Hadzovic has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Terrance McKinney has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Terrance McKinney (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Terrance McKinney
Red Corner
VS
Damir Hadzovic
Blue Corner
-590
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+430
(19%)
31
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Terrance McKinney
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brendon Marotte · Oct 23L
KOvs Esteban Ribovics · May 24W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · Jun 25L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Dec 25W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 26Damir Hadzovic
oldest →latest
W
vs Polo Reyes · Feb 19L
vs Christos Giagos · Jun 19L
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Mar 20W
vs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 21L
vs Marc Diakiese · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Terrance McKinneyMetricDamir Hadzovic
6.53
Strikes / min
3.34
3.45
Strikes absorbed / min
3.74
43%
Strike defense
59%
3.31
TDs / 15 min
0.91
72%
Takedown defense
34%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.08Δ 3.48 — meaningful gap-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Terrance McKinneyDamir Hadzovic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Terrance McKinney(10 fights)Damir Hadzovic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.0-20.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-658.0658.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Terrance McKinney
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Damir Hadzovic
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10