Lightweight
3 Rounds
Terrance McKinney won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 6, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTerrance McKinney: WrestlervsErick Gonzalez: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Terrance McKinney wins(70.4%)
Actual result: Terrance McKinney wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Terrance McKinney is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Erick Gonzalez has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Terrance McKinney has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Terrance McKinney (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Terrance McKinney
Red Corner
VS
Erick Gonzalez
Blue Corner
-950
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+650
(13%)
31
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Terrance McKinney
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Esteban Ribovics · May 24W
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 25W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · Jun 25L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Dec 25W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 26Erick GonzalezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jim Miller · Oct 21L
KOvs Trevor Peek · Feb 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Terrance McKinneyMetricErick Gonzalez
6.53
Strikes / min
2.40
3.45
Strikes absorbed / min
8.08
43%
Strike defense
40%
3.31
TDs / 15 min
6.00
72%
Takedown defense
50%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.08Δ 8.76 — meaningful gap-5.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Terrance McKinneyErick Gonzalez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Terrance McKinney(10 fights)Erick Gonzalez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.9-37.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-147.0147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Terrance McKinney
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Erick Gonzalez
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3