Lightweight
3 Rounds
Esteban Ribovics won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 11, 2024·St. Louis, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupTerrance McKinney: WrestlervsEsteban Ribovics: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Terrance McKinney wins(68.1%)
Actual result: Esteban Ribovics wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Esteban Ribovics has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Terrance McKinney (52.9%).
- Terrance McKinney has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Terrance McKinney
Red Corner
VS
Esteban Ribovics
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
31
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Terrance McKinney
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brendon Marotte · Oct 23W
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 25W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · Jun 25L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Dec 25W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 26Esteban Ribovics
oldest →latest
L
vs Loik Radzhabov · Mar 23W
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jul 23W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 24L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Mar 25W
vs Elves Brener · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Terrance McKinneyMetricEsteban Ribovics
6.53
Strikes / min
7.27
3.45
Strikes absorbed / min
5.83
43%
Strike defense
54%
3.31
TDs / 15 min
0.35
72%
Takedown defense
66%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.08Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap+1.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Terrance McKinneyEsteban Ribovics
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Terrance McKinney(10 fights)Esteban Ribovics(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.0-31.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Terrance McKinney
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Esteban Ribovics
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6