Lightweight
3 Rounds
Terrance McKinney won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 26, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTerrance McKinney: WrestlervsFares Ziam: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Terrance McKinney wins(64.6%)
Actual result: Terrance McKinney wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fares Ziam enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Fares Ziam has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Terrance McKinney (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Terrance McKinney
Red Corner
VS
Fares Ziam
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
31
Age
29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Terrance McKinney
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Esteban Ribovics · May 24W
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 25W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · Jun 25L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Dec 25W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 26Fares ZiamW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jai Herbert · Jul 23W
vs Claudio Puelles · Feb 24W
KOvs Matt Frevola · Sep 24W
vs Mike Davis · Feb 25W
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Terrance McKinneyMetricFares Ziam
6.53
Strikes / min
2.87
3.45
Strikes absorbed / min
1.53
43%
Strike defense
65%
3.31
TDs / 15 min
1.73
72%
Takedown defense
71%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.08Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap+1.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Terrance McKinneyFares Ziam
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Terrance McKinney(10 fights)Fares Ziam(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Terrance McKinney
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Fares Ziam
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10