Lightweight
3 Rounds
Terrance McKinney won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 12, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTerrance McKinney: WrestlervsMike Breeden: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Terrance McKinney wins(71.8%)
Actual result: Terrance McKinney wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Terrance McKinney is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Mike Breeden has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Mike Breeden is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Terrance McKinney has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Terrance McKinney (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Terrance McKinney
Red Corner
VS
Mike Breeden
Blue Corner
-285
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
31
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Terrance McKinney
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Esteban Ribovics · May 24W
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 25W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · Jun 25L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Dec 25W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 26Mike Breeden
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 21L
vs Natan Levy · Apr 22W
KOvs Anshul Jubli · Oct 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Terrance McKinneyMetricMike Breeden
6.53
Strikes / min
5.75
3.45
Strikes absorbed / min
7.28
43%
Strike defense
42%
3.31
TDs / 15 min
0.98
72%
Takedown defense
67%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.08Δ 4.61 — meaningful gap-1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Terrance McKinneyMike Breeden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Terrance McKinney(10 fights)Mike Breeden(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.0-33.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-441.0441.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Terrance McKinney
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Mike Breeden
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4