Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thales Leites won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 22, 2018·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThales Leites: WrestlervsHector Lombard: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Thales Leites wins(54.2%)
Actual result: Thales Leites wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Lombard enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Hector Lombard has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hector Lombard (53.5%).
- Thales Leites has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Thales Leites
Red Corner
VS
Hector Lombard
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
44
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'9"
198.12 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thales LeitesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chris Camozzi · Aug 16L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Nov 16W
vs Sam Alvey · Apr 17L
vs Brad Tavares · Oct 17L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · May 18Hector LombardL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Neil Magny · Mar 16L
KOvs Dan Henderson · Jun 16L
vs Johny Hendricks · Feb 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Sep 17L
vs CB Dollaway · Mar 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thales LeitesMetricHector Lombard
2.13
Strikes / min
3.02
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
52%
Strike defense
53%
2.10
TDs / 15 min
1.69
30%
Takedown defense
77%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.86evenly matched on net striking-0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thales LeitesHector Lombard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thales Leites(10 fights)Hector Lombard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+84.8-84.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Thales Leites
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights13
Hector Lombard
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11