Middleweight
3 Rounds
Krzysztof Jotko won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 19, 2016·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThales Leites: WrestlervsKrzysztof Jotko: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Thales Leites wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Krzysztof Jotko wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Thales Leites
Red Corner
VS
Krzysztof Jotko
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
44
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thales Leites
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chris Camozzi · Aug 16W
vs Sam Alvey · Apr 17L
vs Brad Tavares · Oct 17L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · May 18W
vs Hector Lombard · Sep 18Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →latest
W
vs Eryk Anders · May 20L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thales LeitesMetricKrzysztof Jotko
2.13
Strikes / min
2.98
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
2.23
52%
Strike defense
57%
2.10
TDs / 15 min
1.33
30%
Takedown defense
82%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.86Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thales LeitesKrzysztof Jotko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thales Leites(10 fights)Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Thales Leites
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights13
Krzysztof Jotko
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16