Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thales Leites won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 22, 2017·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupThales Leites: WrestlervsSam Alvey: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Thales Leites wins(53.5%)
Actual result: Thales Leites wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Sam Alvey has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sam Alvey (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Thales Leites
Red Corner
VS
Sam Alvey
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
44
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thales Leites
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chris Camozzi · Aug 16L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Nov 16L
vs Brad Tavares · Oct 17L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · May 18W
vs Hector Lombard · Sep 18Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan Spann · May 20L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
vs Wellington Turman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 22L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thales LeitesMetricSam Alvey
2.13
Strikes / min
3.28
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.63
52%
Strike defense
52%
2.10
TDs / 15 min
0.06
30%
Takedown defense
82%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.86evenly matched on net striking-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thales LeitesSam Alvey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thales Leites(10 fights)Sam Alvey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-22.222.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Thales Leites
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights13
Sam Alvey
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23