Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thales Leites won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 31, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupThales Leites: WrestlervsTim Boetsch: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Thales Leites wins(61.0%)
Actual result: Thales Leites wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Boetsch has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Thales Leites has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Thales Leites
Red Corner
VS
Tim Boetsch
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+270
(27%)
44
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
198.12 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thales Leites
oldest →latest
L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Nov 16W
vs Sam Alvey · Apr 17L
vs Brad Tavares · Oct 17L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · May 18W
vs Hector Lombard · Sep 18Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thales LeitesMetricTim Boetsch
2.13
Strikes / min
2.93
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
52%
Strike defense
57%
2.10
TDs / 15 min
1.45
30%
Takedown defense
59%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.86evenly matched on net striking+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thales LeitesTim Boetsch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thales Leites(10 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.6-23.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Thales Leites
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights13
Tim Boetsch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights20