Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thales Leites won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 3, 2013·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThales Leites: WrestlervsTom Watson: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Thales Leites wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Thales Leites wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thales Leites has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Thales Leites
Red Corner
VS
Tom Watson
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
44
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thales Leites
oldest →latest
L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Nov 16W
vs Sam Alvey · Apr 17L
vs Brad Tavares · Oct 17L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · May 18W
vs Hector Lombard · Sep 18Tom WatsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stanislav Nedkov · Feb 13L
vs Nick Catone · Feb 14W
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 14L
vs Rafael Natal · Jan 15L
vs Chris Camozzi · Aug 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thales LeitesMetricTom Watson
2.13
Strikes / min
4.01
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
4.41
52%
Strike defense
50%
2.10
TDs / 15 min
0.15
30%
Takedown defense
43%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.86evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thales LeitesTom Watson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thales Leites(10 fights)Tom Watson(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.43.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+47.9-47.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Thales Leites
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights13
Tom Watson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7