Welterweight
3 Rounds
Themba Gorimbo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 12, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupThemba Gorimbo: WrestlervsNiko Price: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Themba Gorimbo wins(69.3%)
Actual result: Themba Gorimbo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Niko Price enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Themba Gorimbo has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Themba Gorimbo
Red Corner
VS
Niko Price
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
35
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Themba GorimboL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Takashi Sato · May 23W
KOvs Pete Rodriguez · Feb 24W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · May 24L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Dec 24L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Nov 25Niko PriceL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 23W
vs Alex Morono · Jun 24L
SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Themba GorimboMetricNiko Price
2.70
Strikes / min
5.11
1.75
Strikes absorbed / min
5.57
51%
Strike defense
48%
4.52
TDs / 15 min
1.06
73%
Takedown defense
50%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95Δ 1.41 — meaningful gap-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Themba GorimboNiko Price
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Themba Gorimbo(7 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.1-6.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Themba Gorimbo
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7
Niko Price
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19