Welterweight
3 Rounds
Curtis Millender won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Sunday, February 18, 2018·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupThiago Alves: Well-roundedvsCurtis Millender: Elusive striker
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Thiago Alves wins(62.1%)
Actual result: Curtis Millender wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Curtis Millender has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Alves
Red Corner
VS
Curtis Millender
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
42
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'2"
177.8 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago AlvesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Patrick Cote · Apr 17L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Sep 18W
vs Max Griffin · Feb 19L
vs Laureano Staropoli · May 19L
SUBvs Tim Means · Dec 19Curtis MillenderL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 18W
vs Siyar Bahadurzada · Dec 18L
SUBvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 19L
vs Belal Muhammad · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago AlvesMetricCurtis Millender
3.73
Strikes / min
3.86
3.42
Strikes absorbed / min
2.95
62%
Strike defense
61%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
0.43
63%
Takedown defense
57%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.31evenly matched on net striking+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago AlvesCurtis Millender
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Alves(10 fights)Curtis Millender(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.8-16.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.847.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Thiago Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15
Curtis Millender
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights5