Welterweight
3 Rounds
Martin Kampmann won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Friday, March 2, 2012·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupThiago Alves: Well-roundedvsMartin Kampmann: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Martin Kampmann wins(51.2%)
Actual result: Martin Kampmann wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Martin Kampmann has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Alves
Red Corner
VS
Martin Kampmann
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago AlvesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Curtis Millender · Feb 18L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Sep 18W
vs Max Griffin · Feb 19L
vs Laureano Staropoli · May 19L
SUBvs Tim Means · Dec 19Martin KampmannL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Diego Sanchez · Mar 11W
vs Rick Story · Nov 11W
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 12L
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Nov 12L
KOvs Carlos Condit · Aug 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago AlvesMetricMartin Kampmann
3.73
Strikes / min
3.22
3.42
Strikes absorbed / min
3.28
62%
Strike defense
62%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
1.86
63%
Takedown defense
78%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
2.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.31evenly matched on net striking-0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago AlvesMartin Kampmann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Alves(10 fights)Martin Kampmann(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.7-2.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Thiago Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15
Martin Kampmann
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8