Welterweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Alves won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 2, 2019·Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThiago Alves: Well-roundedvsMax Griffin: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Max Griffin wins(56.6%)
Actual result: Thiago Alves wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thiago Alves enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Max Griffin has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Alves
Red Corner
VS
Max Griffin
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
42
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago AlvesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Patrick Cote · Apr 17L
KOvs Curtis Millender · Feb 18L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Sep 18L
vs Laureano Staropoli · May 19L
SUBvs Tim Means · Dec 19Max GriffinL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Means · Oct 22L
vs Michael Morales · Jul 23W
vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24L
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago AlvesMetricMax Griffin
3.73
Strikes / min
3.70
3.42
Strikes absorbed / min
3.69
62%
Strike defense
58%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
1.44
63%
Takedown defense
69%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.31evenly matched on net striking+0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago AlvesMax Griffin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Alves(10 fights)Max Griffin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.411.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Thiago Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15
Max Griffin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18