Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tim Means won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 7, 2019·Washington, DC, USA, USA
Style matchupThiago Alves: Well-roundedvsTim Means: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Tim Means wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Tim Means wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Means has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Alves
Red Corner
VS
Tim Means
Blue Corner
+225
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'2"
177.8 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Alves
oldest →latest
W
vs Patrick Cote · Apr 17L
KOvs Curtis Millender · Feb 18L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Sep 18W
vs Max Griffin · Feb 19L
vs Laureano Staropoli · May 19Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago AlvesMetricTim Means
3.73
Strikes / min
5.04
3.42
Strikes absorbed / min
3.65
62%
Strike defense
60%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
1.14
63%
Takedown defense
64%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.31Δ 1.08 — meaningful gap+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago AlvesTim Means
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Alves(10 fights)Tim Means(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-44.044.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Thiago Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29