Lightweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Moises won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 25, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupThiago Moises: Submission grapplervsChristos Giagos: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Thiago Moises wins(55.6%)
Actual result: Thiago Moises wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Moises
Red Corner
VS
Christos Giagos
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
31
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Moises
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 23W
KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Mar 24L
vs Ludovit Klein · Jun 24W
vs Trey Ogden · Jan 25L
KOvs Jared Gordon · May 25Christos GiagosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Sean Soriano · May 21L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Sep 21W
KOvs Ricky Glenn · Apr 23L
SUBvs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 23L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago MoisesMetricChristos Giagos
2.52
Strikes / min
3.03
4.40
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
52%
Strike defense
50%
1.37
TDs / 15 min
2.84
52%
Takedown defense
52%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.88Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap-0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago MoisesChristos Giagos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Moises(10 fights)Christos Giagos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.3-10.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Thiago Moises
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15
Christos Giagos
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights14