Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Aleksandar Rakic won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, March 6, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupThiago Santos: Well-roundedvsAleksandar Rakic: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Aleksandar Rakic wins(56.1%)
Actual result: Aleksandar Rakic wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Aleksandar Rakic enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Thiago Santos is a KO finisher (79% of wins). Aleksandar Rakic has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Aleksandar Rakic has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Santos
Red Corner
VS
Aleksandar Rakic
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jon Jones · Jul 19L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Aleksandar RakicL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Aug 20L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · May 22L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 24L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 24L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SantosMetricAleksandar Rakic
3.72
Strikes / min
4.13
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
53%
Strike defense
51%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
0.64
65%
Takedown defense
85%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.15evenly matched on net striking+1.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago SantosAleksandar Rakic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Aleksandar Rakic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.5-29.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Aleksandar Rakic
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights11