Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Thiago Santos won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 22, 2018·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThiago Santos: Well-roundedvsEryk Anders: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Eryk Anders wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Thiago Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eryk Anders has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Eryk Anders (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Santos
Red Corner
VS
Eryk Anders
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
42
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Eryk Anders
oldest →latest
L
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23W
vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25W
vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SantosMetricEryk Anders
3.72
Strikes / min
3.44
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
53%
Strike defense
50%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
1.83
65%
Takedown defense
80%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.15Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago SantosEryk Anders
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Eryk Anders(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+45.9-45.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Eryk Anders
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19