Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Santos won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 28, 2017·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThiago Santos: Well-roundedvsJack Hermansson: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Thiago Santos wins(64.6%)
Actual result: Thiago Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thiago Santos is a KO finisher (79% of wins). Jack Hermansson has lost 63% of fights by KO.
- Jack Hermansson has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Santos
Red Corner
VS
Jack Hermansson
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Jack HermanssonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22W
vs Joe Pyfer · Feb 24L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SantosMetricJack Hermansson
3.72
Strikes / min
5.15
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.72
53%
Strike defense
56%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
1.48
65%
Takedown defense
80%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.15evenly matched on net striking+1.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago SantosJack Hermansson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Jack Hermansson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.1-16.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Jack Hermansson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19