Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Santos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 4, 2018·Los Angeles, California, USA, USA
Style matchupThiago Santos: Well-roundedvsKevin Holland: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Thiago Santos wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Thiago Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Holland threatens submissions; Thiago Santos has lost 30% of fights by sub.
- Kevin Holland has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Santos
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Holland
Blue Corner
-340
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
42
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SantosMetricKevin Holland
3.72
Strikes / min
4.24
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
53%
Strike defense
50%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
0.79
65%
Takedown defense
57%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.15evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago SantosKevin Holland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Kevin Holland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+64.9-64.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27