Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Magomed Ankalaev won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, March 12, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupThiago Santos: Well-roundedvsMagomed Ankalaev: Elusive striker
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Magomed Ankalaev wins(58.5%)
Actual result: Magomed Ankalaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thiago Santos is a KO finisher (79% of wins). Magomed Ankalaev has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Magomed Ankalaev has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Santos
Red Corner
VS
Magomed Ankalaev
Blue Corner
+450
(18%)
Vegas Odds
-630
(86%)
42
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Santos
oldest →latest
L
vs Jon Jones · Jul 19L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Magomed Ankalaev
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jul 22W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jan 24W
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 24W
vs Alex Pereira · Mar 25L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SantosMetricMagomed Ankalaev
3.72
Strikes / min
3.65
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.59
53%
Strike defense
56%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
0.79
65%
Takedown defense
87%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.15evenly matched on net striking+1.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago SantosMagomed Ankalaev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Magomed Ankalaev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.31.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Magomed Ankalaev
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14