Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Santos won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 14, 2016·Curitiba, Parana, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThiago Santos: Well-roundedvsNate Marquardt: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Thiago Santos wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Thiago Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Marquardt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Santos
Red Corner
VS
Nate Marquardt
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
42
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Nate MarquardtL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 15W
KOvs Tamdan McCrory · Oct 16L
vs Sam Alvey · Jan 17L
vs Vitor Belfort · Jun 17L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SantosMetricNate Marquardt
3.72
Strikes / min
2.71
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.32
53%
Strike defense
55%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
1.87
65%
Takedown defense
70%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.15evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago SantosNate Marquardt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Nate Marquardt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+43.9-43.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+9.0-9.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Nate Marquardt
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14