Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Silva won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, October 9, 2013·Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThiago Silva: Elusive strikervsMatt Hamill: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Matt Hamill wins(54.1%)
Actual result: Thiago Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Hamill has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Silva
Red Corner
VS
Matt Hamill
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
43
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Silva
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexander Gustafsson · Apr 12W
vs Rafael Feijao · Jun 13Matt Hamill
oldest →latest
W
vs Keith Jardine · Jun 10W
vs Tito Ortiz · Oct 10L
vs Rampage Jackson · May 11L
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Aug 11W
vs Roger Hollett · Sep 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SilvaMetricMatt Hamill
3.92
Strikes / min
3.69
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
3.80
67%
Strike defense
61%
1.03
TDs / 15 min
3.00
70%
Takedown defense
91%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.37Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap-0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago SilvaMatt Hamill
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Silva(3 fights)Matt Hamill(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.211.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-259.0259.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Thiago Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3
Matt Hamill
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6