Featherweight
3 Rounds
Brian Ortega won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 6, 2015·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Thiago Tavares wins(59.9%)
Actual result: Brian Ortega wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thiago Tavares has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ortega (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Brian Ortega
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
41
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Tavares
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Jan 13W
SUBvs Justin Salas · Nov 13W
SUBvs Robert Peralta · Aug 14W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Nov 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 16Brian OrtegaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Sep 21L
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 22W
SUBvs Yair Rodriguez · Feb 24L
vs Diego Lopes · Sep 24L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago TavaresMetricBrian Ortega
2.00
Strikes / min
3.84
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
6.38
62%
Strike defense
49%
3.83
TDs / 15 min
0.93
62%
Takedown defense
54%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.31Δ 2.23 — meaningful gap-2.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago TavaresBrian Ortega
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Tavares(10 fights)Brian Ortega(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.0-52.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Thiago Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Brian Ortega
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13