Lightweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Tavares won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 9, 2013·Goiania, Goias, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThiago Tavares: WrestlervsJustin Salas: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Thiago Tavares wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Thiago Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thiago Tavares has 62pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Salas (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Justin Salas
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
41
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Tavares
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Jan 13W
SUBvs Robert Peralta · Aug 14L
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jun 15W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Nov 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 16Justin SalasL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tim Means · Jun 12W
vs Aaron Riley · Jul 13W
KOvs Ben Wall · May 14L
KOvs Joe Proctor · Jul 14L
KOvs Jason Saggo · Mar 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago TavaresMetricJustin Salas
2.00
Strikes / min
3.42
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
62%
Strike defense
68%
3.83
TDs / 15 min
2.43
62%
Takedown defense
0%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.31evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago TavaresJustin Salas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Tavares(10 fights)Justin Salas(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.51.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+189.0-189.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Thiago Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Justin Salas
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7