Lightweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Tavares won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 14, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThiago Tavares: WrestlervsSam Stout: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Thiago Tavares wins(67.3%)
Actual result: Thiago Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sam Stout has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Sam Stout
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
41
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Tavares
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Justin Salas · Nov 13W
SUBvs Robert Peralta · Aug 14L
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jun 15W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Nov 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 16Sam StoutL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs James Krause · Jun 13W
vs Cody McKenzie · Dec 13L
KOvs KJ Noons · Apr 14L
KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 15L
KOvs Frankie Perez · Aug 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago TavaresMetricSam Stout
2.00
Strikes / min
4.17
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
4.08
62%
Strike defense
57%
3.83
TDs / 15 min
0.63
62%
Takedown defense
77%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.31evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago TavaresSam Stout
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Tavares(10 fights)Sam Stout(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-4.84.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.12.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Thiago Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Sam Stout
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12