Lightweight
3 Rounds
Shane Roller won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Thursday, March 3, 2011·Louisville, Kentucky, USA, USA
Style matchupThiago Tavares: WrestlervsShane Roller: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Shane Roller wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Shane Roller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shane Roller is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Thiago Tavares has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Thiago Tavares threatens submissions; Shane Roller has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Thiago Tavares has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Shane Roller
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
41
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Tavares
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Justin Salas · Nov 13W
SUBvs Robert Peralta · Aug 14L
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jun 15W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Nov 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 16Shane Roller
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Melvin Guillard · Jul 11L
SUBvs TJ Grant · Oct 11L
vs Michael Johnson · Jan 12W
vs John Alessio · Jul 12L
SUBvs Jacob Volkmann · Oct 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago TavaresMetricShane Roller
2.00
Strikes / min
2.04
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
62%
Strike defense
60%
3.83
TDs / 15 min
2.46
62%
Takedown defense
42%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.31evenly matched on net striking-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago TavaresShane Roller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Tavares(10 fights)Shane Roller(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.349.3
Thiago Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Shane Roller
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6