Lightweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Tavares won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 27, 2011·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThiago Tavares: WrestlervsSpencer Fisher: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Thiago Tavares wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Thiago Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Spencer Fisher (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Thiago Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Spencer Fisher
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
41
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Tavares
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Justin Salas · Nov 13W
SUBvs Robert Peralta · Aug 14L
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jun 15W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Nov 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 16Spencer FisherL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Dennis Siver · Jun 10W
vs Curt Warburton · Oct 10L
vs Ross Pearson · Feb 11L
vs Sam Stout · Jun 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago TavaresMetricSpencer Fisher
2.00
Strikes / min
3.17
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.03
62%
Strike defense
64%
3.83
TDs / 15 min
0.67
62%
Takedown defense
60%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.31evenly matched on net striking+0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thiago TavaresSpencer Fisher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Tavares(10 fights)Spencer Fisher(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.5-17.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-5.05.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Thiago Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Spencer Fisher
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5