Lightweight
3 Rounds
Thibault Gouti won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 2, 2017·Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands, Netherlands
Style matchupThibault Gouti: Well-roundedvsAndrew Holbrook: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Thibault Gouti wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Thibault Gouti wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thibault Gouti enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Thibault Gouti is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Andrew Holbrook has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Thibault Gouti has 73pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Andrew Holbrook (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Thibault Gouti
Red Corner
VS
Andrew Holbrook
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
39
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thibault GoutiL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Teemu Packalen · Feb 16L
SUBvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Jun 16L
KOvs Chad Laprise · Aug 16L
vs Sage Northcutt · Feb 18L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Oct 18Andrew Holbrook
oldest →latest
W
vs Ramsey Nijem · Jul 15L
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jul 16W
vs Jake Matthews · Nov 16L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thibault GoutiMetricAndrew Holbrook
3.68
Strikes / min
2.20
5.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
50%
Strike defense
54%
1.23
TDs / 15 min
0.85
83%
Takedown defense
10%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
2.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.96Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap-0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thibault GoutiAndrew Holbrook
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thibault Gouti(6 fights)Andrew Holbrook(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-54.454.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+224.0-224.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Thibault Gouti
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6
Andrew Holbrook
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5