Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nasrat Haqparast won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 27, 2018·Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada, Canada
Style matchupThibault Gouti: Well-roundedvsNasrat Haqparast: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Nasrat Haqparast wins(59.1%)
Actual result: Nasrat Haqparast wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nasrat Haqparast has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nasrat Haqparast (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Thibault Gouti
Red Corner
VS
Nasrat Haqparast
Blue Corner
+600
(14%)
Vegas Odds
-750
(88%)
39
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thibault Gouti
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Teemu Packalen · Feb 16L
SUBvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Jun 16L
KOvs Chad Laprise · Aug 16W
KOvs Andrew Holbrook · Sep 17L
vs Sage Northcutt · Feb 18Nasrat Haqparast
oldest →latest
W
vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23W
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Dec 23W
vs Jared Gordon · Jun 24W
vs Esteban Ribovics · Mar 25L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thibault GoutiMetricNasrat Haqparast
3.68
Strikes / min
6.36
5.64
Strikes absorbed / min
6.00
50%
Strike defense
63%
1.23
TDs / 15 min
0.34
83%
Takedown defense
86%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.96Δ 2.32 — meaningful gap+0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thibault GoutiNasrat Haqparast
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thibault Gouti(6 fights)Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-45.745.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+154.0-154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Thibault Gouti
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6
Nasrat Haqparast
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15