Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Thomas Almeida won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 7, 2015·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupThomas Almeida: Pressure fightervsAnthony Birchak: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Thomas Almeida wins(72.7%)
Actual result: Thomas Almeida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Thomas Almeida is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Anthony Birchak has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Anthony Birchak is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Thomas Almeida has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Almeida (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Thomas Almeida
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Birchak
Blue Corner
-525
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+415
(19%)
34
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thomas AlmeidaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Albert Morales · Nov 16L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 17L
KOvs Rob Font · Jan 18L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 20L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 21Anthony BirchakL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ian Entwistle · Dec 14W
KOvs Joe Soto · Jun 15W
vs Dileno Lopes · Jul 16L
SUBvs Gustavo Lopez · Nov 20L
KOvs Tony Gravely · Apr 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thomas AlmeidaMetricAnthony Birchak
4.84
Strikes / min
3.93
4.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.67
61%
Strike defense
56%
0.17
TDs / 15 min
0.48
75%
Takedown defense
61%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.09evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thomas AlmeidaAnthony Birchak
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thomas Almeida(10 fights)Anthony Birchak(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.3-46.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.8-3.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Thomas Almeida
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Anthony Birchak
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6