Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Thomas Petersen won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 3, 2025·Des Moines, Iowa, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Thomas Petersen wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Thomas Petersen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Don'Tale Mayes is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Thomas Petersen has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Thomas Petersen has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Petersen (53.5%).
- Don'Tale Mayes has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Thomas Petersen
Red Corner
VS
Don'Tale Mayes
Blue Corner
-330
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
31
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'6"
187.96 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thomas PetersenL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 24W
vs Mohammed Usman · Jul 24L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Feb 25L
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Oct 25Don'Tale MayesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 23L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 23W
vs Caio Machado · Apr 24L
vs Shamil Gaziev · Aug 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thomas PetersenMetricDon'Tale Mayes
3.10
Strikes / min
3.22
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.61
54%
Strike defense
46%
3.01
TDs / 15 min
0.59
87%
Takedown defense
46%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.49evenly matched on net striking-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thomas PetersenDon'Tale Mayes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thomas Petersen(5 fights)Don'Tale Mayes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Thomas Petersen
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Don'Tale Mayes
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights10