Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jamal Pogues won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 3, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupThomas Petersen: WrestlervsJamal Pogues: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Thomas Petersen wins(65.1%)
Actual result: Jamal Pogues wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thomas Petersen has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Petersen (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Thomas Petersen
Red Corner
VS
Jamal Pogues
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
31
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thomas Petersen
oldest →latest
W
vs Mohammed Usman · Jul 24L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Feb 25W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · May 25L
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Oct 25Jamal PoguesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Josh Parisian · Feb 23L
vs Mick Parkin · Jul 23L
vs Hamdy Abdelwahab · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thomas PetersenMetricJamal Pogues
3.10
Strikes / min
3.57
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.97
54%
Strike defense
49%
3.01
TDs / 15 min
2.00
87%
Takedown defense
70%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.49evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Thomas PetersenJamal Pogues
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thomas Petersen(5 fights)Jamal Pogues(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
Thomas Petersen
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Jamal Pogues
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4