Middleweight
3 Rounds
Antonio Carlos Junior won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 14, 2018·Glendale, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Boetsch: Well-roundedvsAntonio Carlos Junior: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Tim Boetsch wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Antonio Carlos Junior wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Antonio Carlos Junior enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Antonio Carlos Junior threatens submissions; Tim Boetsch has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Antonio Carlos Junior has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tim Boetsch
Red Corner
VS
Antonio Carlos Junior
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
45
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim Boetsch
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Josh Samman · Jul 16W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19Antonio Carlos JuniorL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 16W
SUBvs Jack Marshman · Oct 17L
vs Ian Heinisch · May 19L
vs Uriah Hall · Sep 19L
vs Brad Tavares · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim BoetschMetricAntonio Carlos Junior
2.93
Strikes / min
1.95
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
2.14
57%
Strike defense
52%
1.45
TDs / 15 min
3.42
59%
Takedown defense
53%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.03evenly matched on net striking-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim BoetschAntonio Carlos Junior
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Boetsch(10 fights)Antonio Carlos Junior(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-7.37.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+125.0-125.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Tim Boetsch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights20
Antonio Carlos Junior
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11