Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ali Bagautinov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 16, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Elliott: WrestlervsAli Bagautinov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Tim Elliott wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Ali Bagautinov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tim Elliott (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tim Elliott
Red Corner
VS
Ali Bagautinov
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
39
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim ElliottW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Mar 22W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25Ali Bagautinov
oldest →latest
W
vs John Lineker · Feb 14L
vs Demetrious Johnson · Jun 14L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Oct 15W
vs Geane Herrera · Jun 16L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim ElliottMetricAli Bagautinov
3.51
Strikes / min
2.85
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
56%
Strike defense
52%
3.61
TDs / 15 min
2.51
59%
Takedown defense
65%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim ElliottAli Bagautinov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Elliott(10 fights)Ali Bagautinov(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+4.0-4.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.9-2.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Tim Elliott
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights21
Ali Bagautinov
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7