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Elo1500
Tim Elliott
Elo1540

Tim ElliottvsEdgar ChairezUFC Prediction

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · Saturday, September 12, 2026Glendale, USA

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Edgar Chairez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Edgar Chairez threatens submissions; Tim Elliott has lost 42% of fights by sub.
  • Tim Elliott has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Tim Elliott has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Edgar Chairez has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tim Elliott
Red Corner
VS
Edgar Chairez
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1500
Elo
1540
39
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tim Elliott
oldest →
W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23
L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23
W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23
W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25
L
DECvs Steve Erceg · May 26
latest
Edgar ChairezW3 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Daniel Lacerda · Feb 24
L
vs Joshua Van · Sep 24
W
SUBvs CJ Vergara · Mar 25
W
vs Felipe Bunes · Feb 26
W
SUBvs Bruno Silva · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tim ElliottMetricEdgar Chairez
3.51
Strikes / min
3.65
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.75
56%
Strike defense
46%
3.61
TDs / 15 min
0.00
59%
Takedown defense
38%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-1.10
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Tim Elliott(10 fights)Edgar Chairez(6 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Submission.

KO / TKO0%

Neither fighter relies on finishes — likely a decision.

Submission100%

Historical win share: Edgar Chairez earned 75% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Tim Elliott

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights21

Edgar Chairez

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7