Flyweight
3 Rounds
Tim Elliott won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, March 6, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Elliott: WrestlervsJordan Espinosa: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Tim Elliott wins(65.9%)
Actual result: Tim Elliott wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tim Elliott (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tim Elliott
Red Corner
VS
Jordan Espinosa
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
39
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim ElliottW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Mar 22W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25Jordan Espinosa
oldest →latest
W
vs Eric Shelton · Mar 19L
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Aug 19L
SUBvs Alex Perez · Jan 20W
vs Mark De La Rosa · Jun 20L
vs David Dvorak · Sep 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim ElliottMetricJordan Espinosa
3.51
Strikes / min
4.22
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.94
56%
Strike defense
57%
3.61
TDs / 15 min
0.75
59%
Takedown defense
70%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51evenly matched on net striking+1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim ElliottJordan Espinosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Elliott(10 fights)Jordan Espinosa(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.323.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+66.0-66.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Tim Elliott
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights21
Jordan Espinosa
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6