Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Tim Elliott won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 30, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Tim Elliott wins(74.2%)
Actual result: Tim Elliott wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark De La Rosa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Mark De La Rosa threatens submissions; Tim Elliott has lost 45% of fights by sub.
- Tim Elliott has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tim Elliott (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tim Elliott
Red Corner
VS
Mark De La Rosa
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
39
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim ElliottW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Mar 22W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25Mark De La RosaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joby Sanchez · Nov 18L
vs Alex Perez · Mar 19L
vs Kai Kara-France · Aug 19L
KOvs Raulian Paiva · Feb 20L
vs Jordan Espinosa · Jun 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim ElliottMetricMark De La Rosa
3.51
Strikes / min
3.13
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
5.00
56%
Strike defense
48%
3.61
TDs / 15 min
0.54
59%
Takedown defense
40%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51Δ 2.38 — meaningful gap-1.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim ElliottMark De La Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Elliott(10 fights)Mark De La Rosa(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-31.131.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-46.546.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.349.3
Tim Elliott
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights21
Mark De La Rosa
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7