Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Tim Elliott won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 9, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Elliott: WrestlervsSumudaerji: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Tim Elliott wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Tim Elliott wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sumudaerji enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Sumudaerji has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tim Elliott
Red Corner
VS
Sumudaerji
Blue Corner
-162
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+136
(42%)
39
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'8"
167.64 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim Elliott
oldest →latest
L
vs Matheus Nicolau · Oct 21W
vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Mar 22W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25SumudaerjiW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Jul 22L
vs Charles Johnson · Oct 24W
vs Mitch Raposo · Apr 25W
vs Kevin Borjas · Aug 25W
vs Jesus Aguilar · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim ElliottMetricSumudaerji
3.51
Strikes / min
4.43
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.35
56%
Strike defense
62%
3.61
TDs / 15 min
0.67
59%
Takedown defense
72%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51Δ 1.57 — meaningful gap+2.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim ElliottSumudaerji
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Elliott(10 fights)Sumudaerji(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.3-5.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-462.0462.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Tim Elliott
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights21
Sumudaerji
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6