Middleweight
3 Rounds
Tim Kennedy won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 6, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Kennedy: WrestlervsRoger Gracie: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Tim Kennedy wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Tim Kennedy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roger Gracie has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tim Kennedy
Red Corner
VS
Roger Gracie
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
46
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'4"
187.96 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim KennedyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 13W
vs Michael Bisping · Apr 14L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Sep 14L
KOvs Kelvin Gastelum · Dec 16Roger GracieNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim KennedyMetricRoger Gracie
2.78
Strikes / min
1.78
1.84
Strikes absorbed / min
1.79
62%
Strike defense
61%
2.58
TDs / 15 min
1.87
70%
Takedown defense
60%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.94evenly matched on net striking-0.01
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Kennedy(5 fights)Roger Gracie(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Tim Kennedy
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5
Roger Gracie
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights1