Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tim Means won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, June 25, 2017·Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Means: Pressure fightervsAlex Garcia: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Tim Means wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Tim Means wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Alex Garcia
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
42
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Alex GarciaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 16W
KOvs Mike Pyle · Dec 16W
SUBvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 17L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 18L
vs Court McGee · Oct 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricAlex Garcia
5.04
Strikes / min
1.81
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.03
60%
Strike defense
59%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
3.72
64%
Takedown defense
66%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 2.61 — meaningful gap-1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim MeansAlex Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Alex Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+9.8-9.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-71.071.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Alex Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10