Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alex Morono won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 13, 2023·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Means: Pressure fightervsAlex Morono: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Tim Means wins(53.2%)
Actual result: Alex Morono wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tim Means has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Alex Morono
Blue Corner
+184
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
42
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 22L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Alex MoronoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Court McGee · Apr 24L
vs Niko Price · Jun 24L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25L
vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricAlex Morono
5.04
Strikes / min
4.90
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
4.88
60%
Strike defense
55%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
0.32
64%
Takedown defense
47%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim MeansAlex Morono
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Alex Morono(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-56.756.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Alex Morono
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights23