Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tim Means won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 23, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Means: Pressure fightervsAndre Fialho: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Tim Means wins(67.1%)
Actual result: Tim Means wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Means enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Andre Fialho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tim Means has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Andre Fialho
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-166
(62%)
42
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 22L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Andre FialhoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Miguel Baeza · Apr 22W
KOvs Cameron VanCamp · May 22L
KOvs Jake Matthews · Jun 22L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 22L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricAndre Fialho
5.04
Strikes / min
3.30
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
6.26
60%
Strike defense
45%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
0.25
64%
Takedown defense
66%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 4.35 — meaningful gap-2.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim MeansAndre Fialho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Andre Fialho(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+44.0-44.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Andre Fialho
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7