Welterweight
3 Rounds
Belal Muhammad won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 18, 2017·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupTim Means: Pressure fightervsBelal Muhammad: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Belal Muhammad wins(61.2%)
Actual result: Belal Muhammad wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Belal Muhammad
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Belal MuhammadL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricBelal Muhammad
5.04
Strikes / min
4.43
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.82
60%
Strike defense
55%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
2.14
64%
Takedown defense
90%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39evenly matched on net striking+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim MeansBelal Muhammad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Belal Muhammad(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.8-39.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+13.0-13.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Belal Muhammad
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20