Lightweight
3 Rounds
Tim Means won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, February 15, 2012·Omaha, Nebraska, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Tim Means wins(61.4%)
Actual result: Tim Means wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Means has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Tim Means has a 25cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Bernardo Magalhaes
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
42
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Bernardo Magalhaes
oldest →latest
L
vs Henry Martinez · Jun 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricBernardo Magalhaes
5.04
Strikes / min
1.80
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.37
60%
Strike defense
68%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
0.00
64%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 2.96 — meaningful gap-1.57
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Bernardo Magalhaes(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Bernardo Magalhaes
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach—
Fights2