Welterweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Rodriguez won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 15, 2020·Rio Rancho, New Mexico, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Means: Pressure fightervsDaniel Rodriguez: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Daniel Rodriguez wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Daniel Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Rodriguez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Rodriguez
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
42
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Daniel RodriguezW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · May 23L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 24W
vs Alex Morono · Oct 24W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · May 25W
vs Kevin Holland · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricDaniel Rodriguez
5.04
Strikes / min
7.20
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
5.40
60%
Strike defense
57%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
0.51
64%
Takedown defense
64%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39evenly matched on net striking+1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim MeansDaniel Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Daniel Rodriguez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+40.8-40.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.247.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Daniel Rodriguez
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14