Lightweight
3 Rounds
Tim Means won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, June 8, 2012·Sunrise, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupTim Means: Pressure fightervsJustin Salas: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Tim Means wins(59.4%)
Actual result: Tim Means wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Means has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Salas (53.5%).
- Tim Means has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tim Means
Red Corner
VS
Justin Salas
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Justin SalasL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Aaron Riley · Jul 13L
SUBvs Thiago Tavares · Nov 13W
KOvs Ben Wall · May 14L
KOvs Joe Proctor · Jul 14L
KOvs Jason Saggo · Mar 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricJustin Salas
5.04
Strikes / min
3.42
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
60%
Strike defense
68%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
2.43
64%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tim MeansJustin Salas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Justin Salas(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29
Justin Salas
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7